Seasonality of sporotrichosis in Brazil: A modelled analysis of the epidemic in Sao Paulo, 2011-2020

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dc.contributorSistema FMUSP-HC: Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo (FMUSP) e Hospital das Clínicas da FMUSP
dc.contributor.authorFREITAS, Vera Lucia Teixeira de
dc.contributor.authorROCHA, Francisco Marcelo Monteiro
dc.contributor.authorRIBEIRO, Emanoella Nogueira
dc.contributor.authorLINDOSO, Jose Angelo Laulleta
dc.contributor.authorBITTENCOURT, Amanda Azevedo
dc.contributor.authorPIVETTA, Dhara Nicole Araujo Greco
dc.contributor.authorBENARD, Gil
dc.contributor.authorFREITAS-XAVIER, Roseli Santos de
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-16T17:47:45Z
dc.date.available2023-08-16T17:47:45Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractBackground: Sporotrichosis is an endemic subcutaneous mycosis classically caused by the Sporothrix schenckii species complex. Recently, sporotrichosis has emerged in Brazil as a cat-transmitted epidemic caused by a new species, Sporothrix brasiliensis. Objectives: To survey the clinical-epidemiological profile of all sporotrichosis cases diagnosed between 2011 and 2020 at a reference hospital in Sao Paulo metropolitan area and evaluate the annual distribution of cases in relation to seasonality. Methods: Patients' demographic and clinical-epidemiological data were surveyed. A generalized linear model was fitted to relate the quarterly number of sporotrichosis cases detected between 2015 and 2019 with precipitation and temperature series. Prediction of the number of cases from 2011 to 2014 was attempted based on the fitted model without the trend component that appears from 2015. Results: Among 271 suspected cases admitted during 2011-2020, 254 were confirmed by fungal isolation and/or clinical-epidemiological criteria. We observed that 2015 onwards the number of cases regularly increased during Autumn and Winter, the driest and coldest stations of the year. We verified that temperature series affected the number of cases (p = .005) because an increase of 1 degrees C in the temperature series was associated with a 14.24% decrease in the average cases number, with the average number of cases increasing by 10.96% (p < .0001) every quarter, corresponding to an annual increase of 52%. Between 2011 and 2014, the predicted number of sporotrichosis cases averaged 10-12 per year, with 33%-38% occurring in the winter. Conclusion: We hypothesize that sporotrichosis seasonality is associated with the felines' oestrus cycle, which may provide alternative, cat-directed approaches to the sporotrichosis epidemic control.eng
dc.description.indexMEDLINE
dc.description.indexPubMed
dc.description.indexWoS
dc.description.indexScopus
dc.identifier.citationMYCOSES, v.66, n.8, p.643-650, 2023
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/myc.13594
dc.identifier.eissn1439-0507
dc.identifier.issn0933-7407
dc.identifier.urihttps://observatorio.fm.usp.br/handle/OPI/54652
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherWILEYeng
dc.relation.ispartofMycoses
dc.rightsrestrictedAccesseng
dc.rights.holderCopyright WILEYeng
dc.subjectepidemiological profileeng
dc.subjectfeline behavioureng
dc.subjectseasonalityeng
dc.subjectSporotrix brasiliensiseng
dc.subjectuncontrolled epidemiceng
dc.subjectzoonotic sporotrichosiseng
dc.subject.otherrio-de-janeiroeng
dc.subject.otherclimateeng
dc.subject.wosDermatologyeng
dc.subject.wosMycologyeng
dc.titleSeasonality of sporotrichosis in Brazil: A modelled analysis of the epidemic in Sao Paulo, 2011-2020eng
dc.typearticleeng
dc.type.categoryoriginal articleeng
dc.type.versionpublishedVersioneng
dspace.entity.typePublication
hcfmusp.author.externalROCHA, Francisco Marcelo Monteiro:Univ Fed Sao Paulo, Paulista Sch Polit Econ & Business, Sao Paulo, Brazil
hcfmusp.author.externalBITTENCOURT, Amanda Azevedo:Emilio Ribas Inst Infectol, Sao Paulo, Brazil
hcfmusp.citation.scopus0
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcVERA LUCIA TEIXEIRA DE FREITAS
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcEMMANOELA NOGUEIRA RIBEIRO
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcJOSE ANGELO LAULETTA LINDOSO
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcDHARA NICOLE ARAUJO GRECO PIVETTA
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcGIL BENARD
hcfmusp.contributor.author-fmusphcROSELI SANTOS DE FREITAS
hcfmusp.description.beginpage643
hcfmusp.description.endpage650
hcfmusp.description.issue8
hcfmusp.description.volume66
hcfmusp.origemWOS
hcfmusp.origem.pubmed37198141
hcfmusp.origem.scopus2-s2.0-85159597024
hcfmusp.origem.wosWOS:000990980400001
hcfmusp.publisher.cityHOBOKENeng
hcfmusp.publisher.countryUSAeng
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