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DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor | Sistema FMUSP-HC: Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo (FMUSP) e Hospital das Clínicas da FMUSP | |
dc.contributor.author | VICEDO-CABRERA, Ana Maria | |
dc.contributor.author | GUO, Yuming | |
dc.contributor.author | SERA, Francesco | |
dc.contributor.author | HUBER, Veronika | |
dc.contributor.author | SCHLEUSSNER, Carl-Friedrich | |
dc.contributor.author | MITCHELL, Dann | |
dc.contributor.author | TONG, Shilu | |
dc.contributor.author | COELHO, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio | |
dc.contributor.author | SALDIVA, Paulo Hilario Nascimento | |
dc.contributor.author | LAVIGNE, Eric | |
dc.contributor.author | CORREA, Patricia Matus | |
dc.contributor.author | ORTEGA, Nicolas Valdes | |
dc.contributor.author | KAN, Haidong | |
dc.contributor.author | OSORIO, Samuel | |
dc.contributor.author | KYSELY, Jan | |
dc.contributor.author | ALES, Urban | |
dc.contributor.author | JAAKKOLA, Jouni J. K. | |
dc.contributor.author | RYTI, Niilo R. I. | |
dc.contributor.author | PASCAL, Mathilde | |
dc.contributor.author | GOODMAN, Patrick G. | |
dc.contributor.author | ZEKA, Ariana | |
dc.contributor.author | MICHELOZZI, Paola | |
dc.contributor.author | SCORTICHINI, Matteo | |
dc.contributor.author | HASHIZUME, Masahiro | |
dc.contributor.author | HONDA, Yasushi | |
dc.contributor.author | HURTADO-DIAZ, Magali | |
dc.contributor.author | CRUZ, Julio | |
dc.contributor.author | SEPOSO, Xerxes | |
dc.contributor.author | KIM, Ho | |
dc.contributor.author | TOBIAS, Aurelio | |
dc.contributor.author | INIGUEZ, Carmen | |
dc.contributor.author | FORSBERG, Bertil | |
dc.contributor.author | ASTROM, Daniel Oudin | |
dc.contributor.author | RAGETTLI, Martina S. | |
dc.contributor.author | ROOSLI, Martin | |
dc.contributor.author | GUO, Yue Leon | |
dc.contributor.author | WU, Chang-fu | |
dc.contributor.author | ZANOBETTI, Antonella | |
dc.contributor.author | SCHWARTZ, Joel | |
dc.contributor.author | BELL, Michelle L. | |
dc.contributor.author | Tran Ngoc Dang | |
dc.contributor.author | Dung Do Van | |
dc.contributor.author | HEAVISIDE, Clare | |
dc.contributor.author | VARDOULAKIS, Sotiris | |
dc.contributor.author | HAJAT, Shakoor | |
dc.contributor.author | HAINES, Andy | |
dc.contributor.author | ARMSTRONG, Ben | |
dc.contributor.author | EBI, Kristie L. | |
dc.contributor.author | GASPARRINI, Antonio | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-01-17T13:42:18Z | |
dc.date.available | 2019-01-17T13:42:18Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018 | |
dc.identifier.citation | CLIMATIC CHANGE, v.150, n.3-4, p.391-402, 2018 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0165-0009 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://observatorio.fm.usp.br/handle/OPI/30293 | |
dc.description.abstract | The Paris Agreement binds all nations to undertake ambitious efforts to combat climate change, with the commitment to hold warming well below 2 degrees C in global mean temperature (GMT), relative to pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5 degrees C. The 1.5 degrees C limit constitutes an ambitious goal for which greater evidence on its benefits for health would help guide policy and potentially increase the motivation for action. Here we contribute to this gap with an assessment on the potential health benefits, in terms of reductions in temperature-related mortality, derived from the compliance to the agreed temperature targets, compared to more extreme warming scenarios. We performed a multi-region analysis in 451 locations in 23 countries with different climate zones, and evaluated changes in heat and cold-related mortality under scenarios consistent with the Paris Agreement targets (1.5 and 2 degrees C) and more extreme GMT increases (3 and 4 degrees C), and under the assumption of no changes in demographic distribution and vulnerability. Our results suggest that limiting warming below 2 degrees C could prevent large increases in temperature-related mortality in most regions worldwide. The comparison between 1.5 and 2 degrees C is more complex and characterized by higher uncertainty, with geographical differences that indicate potential benefits limited to areas located in warmer climates, where direct climate change impacts will be more discernible. | eng |
dc.description.sponsorship | Medical Research Council-UK [MR/M022625/1] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Natural Environment Research Council UK [NE/R009384/1] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Australian National Health and Medical Research Council [APP1107107] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Ministry of Education of Spain [PRX12/00515] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Czech Science Foundation [16-22000S] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Research Council for Health, Academy of Finland [266314] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Health Research Institutes of Taiwan [NHRI-EM-106-SP03] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | U.S. Environmental Protection Agency [83587101] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (S-14) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Global Research Lab through the National Research Foundation of Korea - Ministry of Science, ICT and future planning [K21004000001-10A0500-00710] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) in Environmental Change and Health | |
dc.description.sponsorship | German Federal Ministry for the Environment [16_II_148_Global_A_IMPACT] | |
dc.description.sponsorship | German Federal Ministry for Education and Research [01LS1613A] | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.publisher | SPRINGER | eng |
dc.relation.ispartof | Climatic Change | |
dc.rights | restrictedAccess | eng |
dc.subject | Climate change | eng |
dc.subject | Mortality | eng |
dc.subject | Temperature | eng |
dc.subject | Projections | eng |
dc.subject.other | 1.5 degrees-c | eng |
dc.title | Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios | eng |
dc.type | article | eng |
dc.rights.holder | Copyright SPRINGER | eng |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s10584-018-2274-3 | |
dc.identifier.pmid | 30405277 | |
dc.subject.wos | Environmental Sciences | eng |
dc.subject.wos | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences | eng |
dc.type.category | original article | eng |
dc.type.version | publishedVersion | eng |
hcfmusp.author.external | VICEDO-CABRERA, Ana Maria:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | GUO, Yuming:Monash Univ, Dept Epidemiol & Prevent Med, Sch Publ Hlth & Prevent Med, 99 Commercial Rd, Melbourne, Vic 3004, Australia; Univ Queensland, Div Epidemiol & Biostat, Sch Populat Hlth, St Lucia, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SERA, Francesco:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HUBER, Veronika:Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; Univ Pablo Olavide, Carretera Utrera, Seville 41013, Spain | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SCHLEUSSNER, Carl-Friedrich:Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; Climate Analyt, Ritterstr 3, D-10969 Berlin, Germany | |
hcfmusp.author.external | MITCHELL, Dann:Univ Bristol, Sch Geol Sci, Univ Rd, Bristol BS8 1SS, Avon, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | TONG, Shilu:Anhui Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Inst Environm & Human Hlth, Meishan Rd, Hefei 230032 81, Anhui, Peoples R China; Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Shanghai Childrens Med Ctr, 1678 Dongfang Rd, Shanghai 200127, Peoples R China; Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth & Social Work, 2 George St, Brisbane, Qld 4000, Australia | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SALDIVA, Paulo Hilario Nascimento:Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Adv Studies, Rua Praca Relogio 109,Bldg K,5th Floor, BR-05508970 Sao Paulo, Brazil | |
hcfmusp.author.external | LAVIGNE, Eric:Univ Ottawa, Sch Epidemiol & Publ Hlth, 600 Peter Morand Crescent, Ottawa, ON K1G 5Z3, Canada; Hlth Canada, Hlth Environm & Consumer Safety Branch, Ottawa, ON, Canada | |
hcfmusp.author.external | CORREA, Patricia Matus:Univ Los Andes, Dept Publ Hlth, Mons Alvaro Portillo 12, Santiago 455, Chile | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ORTEGA, Nicolas Valdes:Univ Los Andes, Dept Publ Hlth, Mons Alvaro Portillo 12, Santiago 455, Chile | |
hcfmusp.author.external | KAN, Haidong:Fudan Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, 138 Yi Xue Yuan Rd, Shanghai 200032, Peoples R China | |
hcfmusp.author.external | OSORIO, Samuel:Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Environm Hlth, Av Dr Arnaldo,715 Cerqueira Cesar, BR-03178200 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil | |
hcfmusp.author.external | KYSELY, Jan:Acad Sci Czech Republ, Inst Atmospher Phys, Prague 140114131, Czech Republic; Czech Univ Life Sci, Fac Environm Sci, Kamycka 129, Prague 16521, Czech Republic | |
hcfmusp.author.external | JAAKKOLA, Jouni J. K.:Acad Sci Czech Republ, Inst Atmospher Phys, Prague 140114131, Czech Republic | |
hcfmusp.author.external | RYTI, Niilo R. I.:Univ Oulu, Ctr Environm & Resp Hlth Res, Aapistie 5B, FI-90014 Oulu, Finland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | PASCAL, Mathilde:Univ Oulu, Ctr Environm & Resp Hlth Res, Aapistie 5B, FI-90014 Oulu, Finland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | GOODMAN, Patrick G.:French Natl Publ Hlth Agcy, St Publ France, 12 Rue Val dOsne, F-94415 St Maurice, France | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ZEKA, Ariana:Dublin Inst Technol, Sch Phys, Kevin St 2, Dublin D08 X622, Ireland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | MICHELOZZI, Paola:Brunel Univ London, Inst Environm Hlth & Soc, London UB8 3PH, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SCORTICHINI, Matteo:Lazio Reg Hlth Serv, Dept Epidemiol, Via Cristoforo Colombo 112, I-00147 Rome, Italy | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HASHIZUME, Masahiro:Nagasaki Univ, Inst Trop Med, Dept Pediat Infect Dis, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki 8528523, Japan | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HONDA, Yasushi:Univ Tsukuba, Fac Hlth & Sport Sci, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058574, Japan | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HURTADO-DIAZ, Magali:Univ 655 Colonia Santa Maria Ahuacatitlan, Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Cuernavaca 62100, Morelos, Mexico | |
hcfmusp.author.external | CRUZ, Julio:Univ 655 Colonia Santa Maria Ahuacatitlan, Natl Inst Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, Cuernavaca 62100, Morelos, Mexico | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SEPOSO, Xerxes:Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Engn, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoudai Katsura Campus, Kyoto 6158540, Japan; Grad Sch Global Environm Studies, Dept Global Ecol, Kyoto 6068501, Japan | |
hcfmusp.author.external | KIM, Ho:Seoul Natl Univ, Grad Sch Publ Hlth, 1Gwanak Ro, Seoul 08826, South Korea | |
hcfmusp.author.external | TOBIAS, Aurelio:CSIC, Spanish Council Sci Res, Inst Environm Assessment & Water Res IDAEA, Jordi Girona 18-26, Barcelona 08034, Spain | |
hcfmusp.author.external | INIGUEZ, Carmen:UV, Dept Stat & Computat Res, Environm Hlth Joint Res Unit, FISABIO,UJI CIBERESP, Valencia, Spain | |
hcfmusp.author.external | FORSBERG, Bertil:Umea Univ, Dept Publ Hlth & Clin Med, S-90185 Umea, Sweden | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ASTROM, Daniel Oudin:Umea Univ, Dept Publ Hlth & Clin Med, S-90185 Umea, Sweden | |
hcfmusp.author.external | RAGETTLI, Martina S.:Swiss Trop & Publ Hlth Inst, Socinstr 57, CH-4051 Basel, Switzerland; Univ Basel, Petersplz 1, CH-4001 Basel, Switzerland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ROOSLI, Martin:Swiss Trop & Publ Hlth Inst, Socinstr 57, CH-4051 Basel, Switzerland; Univ Basel, Petersplz 1, CH-4001 Basel, Switzerland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | GUO, Yue Leon:NTU, Environm & Occupat Med, 1 Sect 4,Roosevelt Rd, Taipei, Taiwan; NTU, Inst Occupat Med & Ind Hyg, 1 Sect 4,Roosevelt Rd, Taipei, Taiwan; NTU Hosp, 1 Sect 4,Roosevelt Rd, Taipei, Taiwan | |
hcfmusp.author.external | WU, Chang-fu:Natl Hlth Res Inst, Natl Inst Environm Hlth Sci, 35 Keyan Rd, Zhunan 35053, Taiwan | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ZANOBETTI, Antonella:Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA | |
hcfmusp.author.external | SCHWARTZ, Joel:Harvard TH Chan Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA 02115 USA | |
hcfmusp.author.external | BELL, Michelle L.:Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, 195 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511 USA | |
hcfmusp.author.external | Tran Ngoc Dang:Univ Med & Pharm, Fac Publ Hlth, 217 Hong Bang,Phurong 11,Quan 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam; Duy Tan Univ, Inst Res & Dev, 254 Nguyen Van Linh, Q Thanh Khe, Da Nang, Vietnam | |
hcfmusp.author.external | Dung Do Van:Univ Med & Pharm, Fac Publ Hlth, 217 Hong Bang,Phurong 11,Quan 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HEAVISIDE, Clare:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England; Publ Hlth England, Ctr Radiat Chem & Environm Hazards, Chem & Environm Effects, Didcot OX11 0RQ, Oxon, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | VARDOULAKIS, Sotiris:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England; Inst Occupat Med, Res Ave North, Edinburgh EH14 4AP, Midlothian, Scotland | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HAJAT, Shakoor:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | HAINES, Andy:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | ARMSTRONG, Ben:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.author.external | EBI, Kristie L.:Univ Washington, Ctr Hlth & Global Environm CHanGE, Seattle, WA 98105 USA | |
hcfmusp.author.external | GASPARRINI, Antonio:London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Environm & Soc, Dept Publ Hlth, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, England | |
hcfmusp.description.beginpage | 391 | |
hcfmusp.description.endpage | 402 | |
hcfmusp.description.issue | 3-4 | |
hcfmusp.description.volume | 150 | |
hcfmusp.origem | WOS | |
hcfmusp.origem.id | WOS:000448034000017 | |
hcfmusp.origem.id | 2-s2.0-85053489637 | |
hcfmusp.publisher.city | DORDRECHT | eng |
hcfmusp.publisher.country | NETHERLANDS | eng |
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dc.description.index | PubMed | eng |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1573-1480 | |
hcfmusp.citation.scopus | 102 | - |
hcfmusp.scopus.lastupdate | 2024-03-29 | - |
Appears in Collections: | Artigos e Materiais de Revistas Científicas - LIM/05 Artigos e Materiais de Revistas Científicas - ODS/13 |
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