Ultrasound Findings and Laboratory Predictors of Early Mortality in Patients With Severe Yellow Fever

Abstract

OBJECTIVE. Yellow fever is a hemorrhagic disease caused by an arbovirus endemic in South America; outbreaks have occurred in recent years. The purpose of this study was to describe abdominal ultrasound findings in patients with severe yellow fever and correlate them with clinical and laboratory data. MATERIALS AND METHODS. A retrospective cohort study was performed between January and April 2018. The subjects were patients admitted to an ICU with polymerase chain reaction-confirmed yellow fever. Bedside sonography was performed within 48 hours of admission. Images were independently analyzed by two board-certified radiologists. Laboratory test samples were collected within 12 hours of image acquisition. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify 30-day mortality predictors; p < .05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS. Forty-six patients (40 [87%] men, six [13%] women; mean age, 47.5 +/- 15.2 years) were evaluated with bedside sonography. Laboratory tests showed high serum levels of aspartate aminotransferase (5319 U/L), total bilirubin (6.2 mg/dL), and creatinine (4.3 mg/dL). Twenty-six (56.5%) patients died within 30 days of admission (median time to death, 5 days [interquartile range, 2-9 days]). The most frequent ultrasound findings were gallbladder wall thickening (80.4%), increased renal cortex echogenicity (71.7%), increased liver parenchyma echogenicity (65.2%), perirenal fluid (52.2%), and ascites (30.4%). Increased renal echogenicity was associated with 30-day mortality (84.6% versus 55.0%; p = .046) and was an independent predictor of this outcome after multivariate analysis (odds ratio, 10.89; p = .048). CONCLUSION. Reproducible abdominal ultrasound findings in patients with severe yellow fever may be associated with severity of disease and prognosis among patients treated in the ICU.